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The US could apply economic pressure and sanctions to
affect long denied political democratic reform in Cambodia as it had done for
Myanmar in recent years – School of Vice
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MATTHEW PENNINGTON
AP
WASHINGTON (AP) — Lawmakers and human rights activists
are pushing for a cut in the more than $70 million in annual U.S. aid to
Cambodia if its prime minister, Hun Sen, extends his 28-year rule in unfair
elections this month.
Whether one of Asia's longest-serving and most ruthless
leaders cares much is another matter.
His political strength has only grown since the last
election in 2008 and support from a more generous benefactor, China, has risen.
That's fueling fears Hun Sen — no stranger to criticism from Western donors —
will ignore calls to ensure the upcoming vote is conducted properly.
The Obama administration has deepened ties with nations
across Southeast Asia. It has encouraged the oppressive military regime in
nearby Myanmar to open up, but relations with Cambodia have worsened in recent
months. During the first visit by a U.S. president there in November, Barack
Obama devoted his entire meeting with Hun Sen to human rights and democracy.
It hasn't had the desired effect.
In the run-up to the July 28 elections, opposition
lawmakers were expelled from parliament for merging parties to contest the
vote. Their exiled leader, Sam Rainsy, has been excluded from the election
because of his criminal conviction on charges that are widely regarded as being
politically motivated.
The State Department has said the exclusion of Rainsy calls into question the legitimacy of Cambodia's democratic process. There are also doubts over the neutrality of the election commission and the composition of voter rolls.
Lawmakers from both the House and Senate are introducing
resolutions seeking to reduce aid, particularly direct assistance to the
government, if the State Department does not judge the election to be
"credible and competitive."
The resolutions also call for Washington to urge
international financial institutions that pour hundreds of millions into
Cambodian development, such as the Asian Development Bank, to do the same. The
Senate resolution is co-sponsored by influential Republicans Marco Rubio and
Lindsey Graham, who sits on a powerful appropriations committee that oversees
government spending.
Cambodian government spokesmen declined to comment about
that prospect. Ruling party lawmaker Chheang Vun told The Associated Press he
had no idea what aid the U.S. gives, "but they did help a lot the
opposition party."
Washington denies taking sides, although Rainsy has taken
heart from what he sees as a hardening in the U.S. position.
"The U.S. administration has sent the right message
to the Cambodian government, that it won't be business as usual for Mr. Hun Sen
if the next election is not seen to be acceptable. Then Hun Sen will face
condemnation and isolation," he said by phone from his exile in Paris.
But it's not yet clear what action the Obama
administration is prepared to take.
Secretary of State John Kerry is preoccupied with the
turbulent Middle East, feeding perceptions that the Obama administration's
"pivot" to Asia is losing steam. With key assistant secretary
positions still open, there's uncertainty about who is running policy toward
that region.
Kerry has a long association with Cambodia and Hun Sen.
Frank Jannuzi, a former Kerry aide who is now with Amnesty International USA,
said his former boss ought to call in a favor or two.
During his tenure on the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, Kerry helped persuade Hun Sen to agree to a U.N.-backed tribunal to
try former Khmer Rouge leaders and also supported U.S.-Cambodia trade — now
worth nearly $3 billion a year. He pushed security cooperation on the search
for the remains of American servicemen missing from the Vietnam War and the
training of a counterterrorism unit commanded by Hun Sen's son, who went on to
graduate from West Point.
"Kerry has a personal touch with Hun Sen," said
Jannuzi. "He ought to use it."
U.S. officials are considering reducing aid, among
possible options, though there are differences of opinion over how effective
that would be.
Much of the current American aid to Cambodia is for
fighting diseases like malaria and AIDS that afflict the nation's poorest, or
for supporting nongovernmental groups that are probably the most effective
check on government abuses, like land confiscations that have dispossessed tens
of thousands of Cambodians.
Concerns over confiscations prompted the World Bank to
suspend lending two years ago, yet in large part, Hun Sen has managed to keep
international assistance flowing.
In the past decade, Hun Sen has overseen modest economic
growth and stability in a country plagued by desperate poverty and nearly
destroyed by the genocidal Khmer Rouge rule in the 1970s. And he can look to
China for more support. China's loans and grants to Cambodia over the past two
decades have totaled about $2.7 billion — compared with $1.2 billion in
assistance from the U.S. over that period. Offshore oil and gas reserves are
expected to provide more domestic revenue in coming years.
"What outsiders say about his tactics is of little
or no concern to Hun Sen," said historian David Chandler, a Cambodia
expert at Australia's Monash University. "He knows that there's not much
besides scolding that outside nations are willing or able to do."
After Hun Sen toppled his co-prime minister in a 1997
coup and consolidated his dominance, Congress did put restrictions on U.S. aid
for a decade. But relations have since expanded, including the start of
military contacts in 2006, although that assistance is less than $1 million a
year.
John Sifton, Asia advocacy director for Human Rights
Watch, who will testify at a congressional hearing Tuesday on Cambodia,
expressed confidence the U.S. will cut some aid after the election and said
that would be a blow to Hun Sen.
"It's about legitimacy," Sifton said, "not
money."
____
Associated Press writer Sopheng Cheang in Phnom Penh,
Cambodia, contributed to this report.
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